ALL ABOUT FOREX TRADING, TIPS And TRICKS

Sunday, November 6, 2016

Forex News: FBI clears Clinton

Four thousand U.S. dollars are counted out by a banker counting currency at a bank in Westminster, Colorado November 3, 2009. REUTERS/Rick Wilking/File Photo
TOKYO/SYDNEY The dollar jumped on Monday as news that Democrat Hillary Clinton would not face criminal charges related to her use of a private e-mail server gave the U.S. presidential contender an eleventh hour boost before the Nov. 8 election..
The FBI said late on Sunday that it stood by its earlier finding that no criminal charges were warranted against Clinton.
Markets have tended to see Clinton as the status quo candidate, and news favouring her bid often boosts risk appetite, whereas the stance taken by her Republican rival Donald Trump on foreign policy, trade and immigration issues is seen posing potential risks for global growth.
The dollar was up 1.2 percent at 104.255 yen JPY= after surging to 104.530 in early trade. It had declined to 102.550 last week as polls showed a tightening U.S. presidential race.
The euro was down 0.6 percent at $1.1077 EUR=, knocked off a four-week peak of $1.1143 reached on Friday.
"The dollar is being bought back on lessened prospects of a Trump presidency. But so far it is not active buying, as Clinton is likely to maintain a policy that prevents a strong dollar if she is elected, and as economic prospects remain unclear," said Masafumi Yamamoto, chief forex strategist at Mizuho Securities in Tokyo.
"Uncertainty regarding the elections will remain until the last minute, as a significant part of Trump's latest comeback in the polls may not be related to Clinton's e-mail probe."
The U.S. currency also won back ground against the Swiss franc CHF=, which has served as a safe-haven along with the yen. The dollar was up 0.8 percent at $0.9757 franc after going as high as $0.9789. It had slid to a five-week low of $0.9680 francs on Friday.
Dealers cautioned against complacency with Clinton only holding a shaky lead in Electoral College forecasts.
"The dollar heads into the presidential elections with the latest FBI verdict favouring Clinton. I don't see much upside for the dollar from current levels, however, as caution is likely to grip the market ahead of the voting," said Kyosuke Suzuki, director of forex at Societe Generale in Tokyo.
Meanwhile, the Mexican peso surged. The U.S. currency was down 1.8 percent at 18.68 Mexican pesos to the dollar MEX= after touching 18.56, its weakest since Oct. 26.
The Mexican peso has acted as something of a bellwether of sentiment as Trump's proposed policies are considered to be deeply negative for the country.
The Canadian dollar also edged up against the greenback. A Trump win is expected to negatively affect the loonie as he has vowed to scrap the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) if elected.
The greenback was down 0.1 percent at C$1.3388 per dollar CAD=D4 after reaching an eight-month peak of C$1.3466 on Friday.
Risk-sensitive currencies such as the Australian dollar also gained on the yen, with the Aussie climbing 1 percent to 80.00 yen AUDJPY=.
The final NBC-Wall Street Journal poll released on Sunday showed Clinton holding a four-point lead over Trump. Clinton leads by a slender 1.8 points according to Real Clear Politics' polling average.
(Editing by Simon Cameron-Moore)
Next In Business News Oil prices rise after week of sharp falls
SINGAPORE Oil prices rose in early trading on Monday, with traders citing opportunistic buying following sharp declines in the previous week on the back of ongoing weak fundamentals.
U.S. stock futures surge after Clinton cleared by FBI
NEW YORK U.S. equity index futures rallied at the open on Sunday as bullish sentiment returned to Wall Street following the largest streak of losses on the S&P 500 since 1980.
BOJ policymakers admit time needed to hit price target: September minutes
TOKYO A majority of Bank of Japan policymakers believe it could take time for inflation expectations to firm, underscoring lingering doubts on how effective the BOJ's new policy framework would be in achieving its ambitious 2 percent price target.

source: www.reuters.com
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Forex Trading Alert: USD/CHF Declines Sharply

Although the Institute for Supply Management showed that its manufacturing purchasing managers' index increased to 51.9 in Oct, the USD Index moved sharply lower. As a result, the greenback declined significantly against the Swiss franc. What does it mean for USD/CHF?
In our opinion the following forex trading positions are justified - summary:

  • EUR/USD: none
  • GBP/USD: none
  • USD/JPY: none
  • USD/CAD: none
  • USD/CHF: none - in other words, closing short positions and taking profits off the table appears justified at this time.
  • AUD/USD: short (a stop-loss order at 0.7769; initial downside target at 0.7542)

  • Looking at the weekly chart, we see that EUR/USD extended gains and climbed to the previously-broken blue dashed resistance line.
    How did this increase affect the very short-term picture? Let's check.
    From today's point of view, we see that although EUR/USD slipped under the grey zone and the red line yesterday, currency bulls didn't give up which resulted in a rebound and invalidation of the breakdown. This positive even triggered further improvement earlier today, which resulted in an increase to the orange resistance zone created by the Aug lows, mid-Oct highs and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Taking this fact into account, and combining it with the medium-term picture and the current position of daily indicators (the CCI and the Stochastic Oscillator are overbought), we think that reversal and lower values of the exchange rate should not surprise us in the coming days. If this is the case and the pair will move lower from current levels, the initial downside target would be the grey zone and the red declining line.
    Very short-term outlook: mixedShort-term outlook: mixedMT outlook: mixedLT outlook: mixed
    Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective. We will keep you informed should anything change, or should we see a confirmation/invalidation of the above.
    On the weekly chart, we see that the overall situation hasn't changed much as USD/CAD remains abve the previously-broken upper border of the purlpe rising wedge. Nevertheless, the current levels of the CCI and Stochastic Oscillator suggest that reversal may be just around the corner.
    Having said the above, let's check the very short-term picture.
    From this perspective, we see that although USD/CAD broke above the upper border of the violet rising wedge and the upper line of the blue rising trend channel, currency bulls didn't manage to hold gained levels, which resulted in a pullback earlier today. With this move, the exchange rate slipped under the above-mentioned lines, but currency bulls pushed the pair higher, invalidating this intraday breakdown. Nevertheless, the current position of the indicators (they all generated sell signals) favors currency bears and lower values of the exchange rate. Therefore if we see a daily closure below the upper border of the violet rising wedge and the upper line of the blue rising trend channel we'll consider re-opening short positions. At this point it is also worth noting that if the pair declines from current levels, the initial downside target would be around 1.3153, where the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (based on the mid-Aug – Oct upward move) is.
    Very short-term outlook: mixed with bearish biasShort-term outlook: mixed with bearish biasMT outlook: mixedLT outlook: mixed
    Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective. Nevertheless, if we see a daily closure below both above-mentioned lines, we'll consider re-opening short positions. We will keep you informed should anything change, or should we see a confirmation/invalidation of the above.
    On the weekly chart, we see that the key resistance zone created by the long-term red declining resistance line based on the Nov and Feb highs, the green rising line based on the May and Aug 2015 lows and May and Jul highs (marked with orange ellipse) triggered a sharp decline.
    How did this drop affect the very short-term picture? Let's check.
    Quoting our previous commentary on this currency pair:
    (…) USD/CHF moved sharply lower and approached our initial downside target on Friday. Although the pair rebounded earlier today, it is still trading in the yellow resistance zone under the brown resistance line (the red resistance line seen on the weekly chart), which means that invalidation of the breakout above this line and its negative impact on the exchange rate is still in effect. This suggests that another reversal and lower values of USD/CHF are just around the corner.
    From today's point of view, we see that the situation developed in line with the above scenario and USD/CHF declined very sharply and significantly earlier today, making our short positions more profitable. With today's decline the pair approached the support zone created by the green support line based on the previous lows, the 50% Fibonacci retracement based on the Aug-Oct rally and the 61.8% retracement based on the May-Oct upward move. Additionally, the current position of the indicators increases the probability of reversal. Therefore, we believe that closing short positions (we opened them when USD/CHF was trading around 0.9938) and taking profits off the table is the best decision at the moment.
    Very short-term outlook: mixedShort-term outlook: mixedMT outlook: mixedLT outlook: mixed
    Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective. We will keep you informed should anything change, or should we see a confirmation/invalidation of the above.
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    Forex: The Powerfull Market


    Competent are several advantages of the Forex market over some other types of cash trading.
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    HOW TO CHOOSE THE BEST FOREX TRADING PLATFORM



    If you might be critical about trading within the forex market, then the buying and sellingplatform you choose to execute foreign exchange trades from might be a particularly vitalsoftware you'll depend on in your buying and selling course of.
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    Saturday, November 5, 2016

    How to succeed as a Forex trader


    For many traders , Forex trading success does not come easy. This is largely a result of the fact that most Forex traders and aspiring beginners simply have unrealistic expectations about their ability to make money in the markets.
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    FOREX BASICS


    T E R M S  U S E D  I N  F O R E X   T R A D I N G :

    The foreign exchange market is global, and it is conducted over-the-counter (OTC) through the use of electronic trading platforms, or by telephone through trading desks. Some shorten the term to “forex” or “FX”.
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